Fun Facts

For Buyers Bargaining Power Buyers (finally) have more bargaining power.  For many, many months sellers had the distinct upper-hand and commanded above-list price offers.  Bidding wars were the norm.  Buyers had virtually no negotiating power.The numbers show that the dynamic has absolutely changed.The ratio of the final sales price to the list price is now at 98.1%.From April 2020 […]
Fun Facts Luxury is Stronger The market above $1,000,000 is stronger than the market overall.This is true in both Northern Colorado and Metro Denver.The luxury market is not slowing to the same degree as the overall market.In Northern Colorado: Closed transactions are down 41% in the overall market and 26% in the luxury market over $1,000,000 Pending transactions are down […]
Fun Facts Halfway Check   This is a market which is changing quickly.  We are studying the numbers every day so we can be clear about where the market is heading. Here is a check on the market halfway through October. Compared to last October… Available inventory is up 73% in Northern Colorado and up 112% in Metro Denver.  […]
Fort Collins Real Estate Toward Balance Our market is moving toward a balanced market, but it is still unbalanced. By definition, a balanced market has between 4 and 6 months of inventory for sale. Today there is essentially two months.  One year ago, there was only 3 weeks of inventory. It has actually been 16 years since the market has been […]
Fun Facts The Big News The big news this week is obviously the rise in interest rates. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rates are now at 6.7% which is the highest they have been since July 2007. So, how is this affecting the market?  Here is what we notice… There are fewer buyers in the market.  Sales activity, measured by closed […]
Fun Facts Most Multi There are more multi-family residential properties under construction than at any time since 1974. 890,000 properties with 2+ units are currently being built across the United States.  This includes both for-sale product, and for-rent product. Additional supply is clearly beneficial for both buyers and renters and will hopefully relieve some of the housing affordability issues. […]
Fun Facts New Rankings The latest Home Price Index report has just been released by the Federal Housing Finance Authority. They track home price appreciation for the largest metropolitan areas in the U.S. plus state by state appreciation. Here is the ranking of the top three states for price growth over the last twelve months: 1.  Florida = 29% […]
Fun Facts Like 1993 Here’s a trivia question… The number of new, single-family homes completed in 2022 will most closely resemble which prior year? If you guessed 1993, you are correct. Yes, the number of homes built and completed this year is no more than the number from 30 years ago. In 2022, there will be just over 1 […]
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Fun Facts Under 100 For the first time in a long time, the sale to list price ratio is below 100%. This statistic measures the final sales price versus the listing price. During the super-active market of the last 24 months, this number averaged over 100%. This was a result of multiple offers and bidding wars which caused buyers […]
For Sellers Asking Price Drop Data just released by Altos Research shows that 35% of all homes on the market have had to reduce their asking price. This is the highest this number has been since December of 2019. This is also an indicator of sellers adjusting to the reality of the new market where overly aggressive pricing is not […]
Fun Facts More Days A stat that we have expected to change is finally changing. “Days on Market” measures how long it takes for new listings to sell. Over the last two years this stat plummeted to levels we have never seen before. In the height of the market frenzy a year ago, properties were taking 7 days or […]
Fun Facts Top Three   Here are the top three reasons why prices are unlikely to crash even though the market has cooled off: Inventory – Ultimately, prices are driven by supply and demand.  Although supply has increased, it still remains relatively low with less than two months’ supply in most areas. New Homes – New home construction still […]
Fun Facts Weeks to Months For the first time in almost two years, there is more than a month’s worth of inventory on the market. This means that at the current pace of sales, it would take more than a month to sell all of the homes currently for sale. This is certainly welcome news for buyers who have been […]
Fun Facts Still Behind Single family new housing starts in 2022 will show an increase versus last year, will be the most since 2007, and will still be well behind the peak of 2006. This year, experts predict that a total of 1.1 million single family homes will be started. In 2021 there were 970,000 new home starts. The […]
Fun Facts What the Numbers Say During a time of varying opinions and heavy speculation about the Front Range real estate market, let’s see what the actual numbers are telling us: Inventory is up significantly year over year: Larimer County = +48% Weld County = +52% Metro Denver = +74% However, supply is still low as measured by months of inventory: […]
Fun Facts Timber! A positive outcome of the cooling housing market is lower lumber prices. Lumber is now priced at $605 per thousand board feet.  This is a new low for 2022. Prices for lumber are now down 47% for the year and are well below the 2021 peak of $1,733 per thousand board feet. What’s causing this?  […]
Fun Facts What We Notice Here is what we notice about the market right now: Listings are receiving fewer offers compared to 60 days ago – instead of 10 offers, a listing might have 2. There are now several instances of a listing only having one offer. Sellers who were overly-aggressive with their list price have to quickly reduce in […]
Fun Facts Delinquent Indicator A leading indicator of the health of any real estate market is Mortgage Delinquencies. Specifically, the percentage of mortgages which are at least 30 days delinquent can foretell the amount of distressed properties that may hit the market in the future. The most recent research shows that only 4.11% of all loans are delinquent. This […]
Fun Facts Expert Opinion This week, take a listen to Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist as he discusses the current state of the housing market.​​​​​​​ He takes a deep dive into interest rates, price appreciation and where the market is headed. You can watch his video HERE
For Buyers Active Above While we frequently research and discuss average prices for properties that sell, it is also interesting to look at the average prices for properties that are active on the market but not sold yet. These are the average prices, by area, for properties currently listed for sale and not sold yet: Metro Denver = $954,000 […]